Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 13.606485 15.445106 17.389923 19.595150 22.020926 24.602642 27.552703
2025-02-09 11.120934 13.687632 16.576013 20.046555 24.081697 28.603387 34.030483
2025-02-16 8.969606 11.916095 15.428261 19.875469 25.305056 31.665362 39.621898
2025-02-23 7.181895 10.275954 14.172721 19.354323 25.968653 34.029770 44.486326
2025-03-02 5.879365 9.030874 13.211286 19.026119 26.752722 36.504942 49.560375
2025-03-09 4.973299 8.165121 12.607110 19.042956 27.905085 39.437842 55.301743
2025-03-16 4.166837 7.309251 11.893108 18.799882 28.635910 41.805137 60.377024
2025-03-23 3.805395 7.058667 11.993865 19.672216 30.907383 46.293565 68.420932
2025-03-30 3.339003 6.568635 11.671722 19.875872 32.212942 49.492852 74.828571
2025-04-06 2.768520 5.815201 10.849830 19.235786 32.218530 50.838626 78.694429
2025-04-13 2.268502 5.099886 9.997959 18.451631 31.920929 51.690619 81.847152
2025-04-20 2.096485 4.957769 10.077030 19.142613 33.886522 55.883514 89.898168
2025-04-27 2.078651 5.120707 10.711947 20.816646 37.516781 62.750541 102.183161
2025-05-04 1.949583 5.042533 10.910860 21.770772 40.055567 68.088982 112.425812
2025-05-11 1.721095 4.720517 10.630686 21.876702 41.224479 71.389240 119.756904
2025-05-18 1.464533 4.290216 10.096022 21.483729 41.535770 73.362980 125.144478
2025-05-25 1.259021 3.935488 9.662876 21.227399 42.042619 75.639084 131.043275
2025-06-01 1.113486 3.695076 9.427314 21.306189 43.106755 78.814755 138.399840
2025-06-08 0.960256 3.402969 9.048221 21.075762 43.606827 81.084105 144.394261
2025-06-15 0.918681 3.400106 9.286546 22.054205 46.287393 86.991796 156.288693
2025-06-22 0.826688 3.238617 9.156900 22.290874 47.637906 90.741751 164.842009
2025-06-29 0.686324 2.902677 8.590402 21.596233 47.242618 91.551922 168.677894
2025-07-06 0.558048 2.566460 7.974869 20.739403 46.482555 91.694174 171.403596